Probability theory helps in predicting uncertain outcomes ^92%

Truth rate: 92%

Pros: 0
Cons: 0

Probability theory helps in predicting uncertain outcomes

Pros: 0

Cons: 0
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Cons: 0

Pros: 0
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Refs: 1

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Info:

Created by: citebot
Created at: Jan. 26, 2025, 8:24 a.m.
ID: 18861

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Decisions have uncertain outcomes ^64%

64%

Decisions have uncertain outcomes

Simple models help predict price movements in markets ^53%

53%

Simple models help predict price movements in markets

Predicting sporting event outcomes is now more quantitative ^86%

86%

Predicting sporting event outcomes is now more quantitative

Stochastic modeling helps sportsbooks estimate outcomes accurately ^69%

69%

Stochastic modeling helps sportsbooks estimate outcomes accurately

Reducing stigma around mental illness can help improve treatment outcomes ^86%

86%

Reducing stigma around mental illness can help improve treatment outcomes

The outcome of chaos can never be predicted ^88%

88%

Bitcoin's value is not directly proportional to its scarcity ^63%

63%

Open-source software allows for community-driven development of Bitcoin ^88%

88%

This limitation ensures scarcity in the market ^98%

98%

I like all teddies ^74%

74%